LSU
W-L: (31-26) PR = 97.0069Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 15- 5 214 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 5- 3 215 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 21- 7 216 H Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 10- 7 218 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 12- 6 220 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 14- 6 221 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 9- 4 222 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 11- 0 224 H McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 6- 7 227 H Dartmouth IVY ( 1- 2, 89.3) 5- 2 228 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 1 301 A Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 3- 7 303 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 10- 2 304 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 2 306 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 15- 4 307 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 4- 5 308 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 1- 6 310 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 8- 4 313 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 12-13 314 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 3-11 315 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 16- 9 317 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 7- 1 319 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 7- 1 320 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 2- 4 321 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 4 324 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 15- 5 327 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 4- 7 328 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 7- 0 329 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 17-10 331 H Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 16- 6 403 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 7- 5 404 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1- 4 405 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 16- 6 407 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 7-10 410 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 3- 8 411 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2-12 412 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 7- 8 414 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 4- 2 417 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 4-10 418 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 2- 7 419 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 2- 5 421 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 10- 7 424 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 8-10 425 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 8- 9 426 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 8-13 428 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 12- 4 502 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 6- 1 502 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 7- 3 503 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 7- 0 505 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 13- 6 508 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 8-11 509 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 8-13 510 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1-12 514 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 8- 7 515 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 9 516 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 11-15 519 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 6- 2 520 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Milwaukee 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.29
214 H Milwaukee 5- 3 2 4 -1.71
215 H Milwaukee 21- 7 14 4 +++ 10.29
216 H Kent State 10- 7 3 3 0.45
218 A South Carolina Upstate 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.64
220 H Pittsburgh 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.68
221 H Notre Dame 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21
222 A UCF 11- 0 11 0 +++ 10.66
224 H McNeese 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.39
227 H Dartmouth 5- 2 3 8 -- -5.40
228 H Northeastern 3- 1 2 3 -1.26
301 A Canisius 3- 7 -4 6 --- -10.07
303 A William & Mary 10- 2 8 5 + 3.19
304 H Southern Miss 2- 2 0 1 -1.06
306 A Bellarmine 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.83
307 H Sacramento State 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.81
308 H Sacramento State 1- 6 -5 3 --- -7.81
310 H Creighton 8- 4 4 3 0.73
313 A Vanderbilt 12-13 -1 -1 -0.21
314 A Vanderbilt 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.21
315 A Vanderbilt 16- 9 7 -1 +++ 7.79
317 H Grambling 7- 1 6 10 -- -4.19
319 H Oklahoma 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.38
320 H Oklahoma 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.62
321 A Florida 3- 4 -1 -2 0.94
324 H Louisiana Tech 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.98
327 H Kentucky 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.77
328 H Kentucky 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.23
329 H Kentucky 17-10 7 2 ++ 5.23
331 H Southern 16- 6 10 12 -1.55
403 A Tennessee 7- 5 2 0 + 2.36
404 A Tennessee 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.64
405 A Tennessee 16- 6 10 0 +++ 10.36
407 H Bethune-Cookman 7-10 -3 6 --- -9.01
410 H Texas Tech 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.89
411 A Ole Miss 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.66
412 A Ole Miss 7- 8 -1 -1 0.34
414 H Northwestern State 4- 2 2 6 -- -4.34
417 H Texas A&M 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.69
418 H Texas A&M 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.69
419 H Texas A&M 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.69
421 H New Orleans 10- 7 3 4 -0.85
424 A Mississippi State 8-10 -2 -3 1.01
425 A Mississippi State 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.01
426 A Mississippi State 8-13 -5 -3 -1.99
428 H SE Louisiana 12- 4 8 3 ++ 5.26
502 H South Carolina 6- 1 5 3 1.87
502 H South Carolina 7- 3 4 3 0.87
503 H South Carolina 7- 0 7 3 + 3.87
505 H Tulane 13- 6 7 3 + 3.72
508 A Georgia 8-11 -3 -3 -0.38
509 A Georgia 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.38
510 A Georgia 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.38
514 A Purdue 8- 7 1 0 1.01
515 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -5.38
516 H Florida 11-15 -4 -1 - -3.42
519 A Oklahoma 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.73
520 A Auburn 1- 3 -2 -3 0.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Canisius 3- 7 -4 6 --- -10.07 308 H Sacramento State 1- 6 -5 3 --- -7.81 314 A Vanderbilt 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.21 407 H Bethune-Cookman 7-10 -3 6 --- -9.01 410 H Texas Tech 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.89 411 A Ole Miss 2-12 -10 -1 --- -8.66 510 A Georgia 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.38 224 H McNeese 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.39 227 H Dartmouth 5- 2 3 8 -- -5.40 317 H Grambling 7- 1 6 10 -- -4.19 327 H Kentucky 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.77 414 H Northwestern State 4- 2 2 6 -- -4.34 417 H Texas A&M 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.69 515 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -3 -- -5.38 307 H Sacramento State 4- 5 -1 3 - -3.81 320 H Oklahoma 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.62 404 A Tennessee 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.64 418 H Texas A&M 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.69 509 A Georgia 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.38 516 H Florida 11-15 -4 -1 - -3.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Milwaukee 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.29 215 H Milwaukee 21- 7 14 4 +++ 10.29 220 H Pittsburgh 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.68 222 A UCF 11- 0 11 0 +++ 10.66 315 A Vanderbilt 16- 9 7 -1 +++ 7.79 324 H Louisiana Tech 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.98 405 A Tennessee 16- 6 10 0 +++ 10.36 218 A South Carolina Upstate 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.64 306 A Bellarmine 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.83 319 H Oklahoma 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.38 328 H Kentucky 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.23 329 H Kentucky 17-10 7 2 ++ 5.23 428 H SE Louisiana 12- 4 8 3 ++ 5.26 519 A Oklahoma 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.73 221 H Notre Dame 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21 303 A William & Mary 10- 2 8 5 + 3.19 403 A Tennessee 7- 5 2 0 + 2.36 425 A Mississippi State 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.01 503 H South Carolina 7- 0 7 3 + 3.87 505 H Tulane 13- 6 7 3 + 3.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 15- 5 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.50 11.79
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 5- 3 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.50 11.79
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 21- 7 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.50 11.79
3 H Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 10- 7 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.50 12.95
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 12- 6 -4.93 13.50 0.68 0.50 14.13
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 14- 6 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.50 14.18
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 9- 4 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.50 13.71
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 11- 0 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.50 15.15
3 H McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 6- 7 -6.61 11.82 -0.68 0.50 -1.82
3 H Dartmouth ( 1- 2, 89.3) 5- 2 -10.62 7.81 -0.68 0.50 7.11
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 1 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.50 12.24
3 A Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 3- 7 -9.64 8.79 0.68 0.50 -2.23
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 10- 2 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.50 10.69
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 2 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.50 0.00
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 15- 4 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.50 10.33
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 4- 5 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.50 -1.42
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 1- 6 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.50 -1.42
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 8- 4 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.50 12.23
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 12-13 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 3-11 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 16- 9 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 16.28
3 H Grambling ( 0- 9, 87.5) 7- 1 -12.40 6.02 -0.68 0.50 5.33
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 7- 1 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.50 14.87
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.50 -0.88
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 4 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 15- 5 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.50 12.48
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 4- 7 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 7- 0 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.50 13.73
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 17-10 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.50 13.73
3 H Southern ( 2- 7, 86.1) 16- 6 -13.77 4.66 -0.68 0.50 3.97
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 7- 5 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.50 15.85
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 1- 4 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.50 -0.63
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 16- 6 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.50 15.85
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 7-10 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.50 -2.22
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 3- 8 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.50 -1.19
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2-12 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 7- 8 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 4- 2 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.50 9.16
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 4-10 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 2- 7 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 2- 5 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 10- 7 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.50 11.65
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 8-10 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.50 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 8- 9 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.50 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 8-13 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.50 -0.03
3 H SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 12- 4 -4.95 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 6- 1 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.50 12.37
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 7- 3 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.50 12.37
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 7- 0 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.50 12.37
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 13- 6 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.50 12.22
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 8-11 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.50 -0.07
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 8-13 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.50 -0.07
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1-12 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.50 -0.07
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 8- 7 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.50 15.50
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 9 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.50 -0.07
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 11-15 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.50 -0.58
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 6- 2 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.50 16.22
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 1- 3 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.50 -0.09
------
367.56
|
winning pts = 384.8146 losing points = -17.2503
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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